Jorge Rivera vs Terry Martin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record23-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rivera Athletic CenterTeamIron Academy
What's at stake
Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Terry Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1691
If they lose-14→ 1667
If they win+14→ 1627
If they lose-10→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jorge RiveraTerry Martin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Rivera58%
Terry Martin 42%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Rivera a 58% favorite over Terry Martin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1613, a 68-point edge.
Jorge Rivera finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Terry Martin 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.