Combat Edge Intelligence

Jorge Santiago vs Justin Levens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Levens
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Justin Levens

“The Executioner”

9-8-0MiddleweightPFC

1483Average

Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record9-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
BlackziliansTeamCSW

What's at stake

Jorge Santiago is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Justin Levens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jorge SantiagoNow 1703
If they win+5→ 1708
If they lose-19→ 1684
Justin LevensNow 1483
If they win+25→ 1508
If they lose-7→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.69
Sig. strikes / min
0.37
35%
Strike accuracy
20%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.49
56%
Strike defense
41%
0.58
Takedown avg.
0
30%
Takedown accuracy
0%
52%
Takedown defense
33%
0.77
Submission avg.
2.75

Trajectory

Jorge SantiagoJustin Levens
15001600170020062007200820092010201120122013

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
13 (52%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Santiago83%
Justin Levens 17%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Santiago a 83% favorite over Justin Levens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Jorge Santiago holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1483, a 220-point edge.

Jorge Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Levens enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jorge Santiago finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Justin Levens 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.