Combat Edge Intelligence

José Medina vs Keith Berry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Keith Berry
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Keith Berry

“KO Kid”

17-15-1MiddleweightGC

1529Average

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record17-15-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74″ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phuket Fight ClubTeamReign MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

José MedinaNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Keith BerryNow 1529
If they win+12→ 1541
If they lose-12→ 1517

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.16
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0.40
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
28%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

José MedinaKeith Berry
150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
12 (75%)
2 (18%)
Submission
3 (19%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

José Medina67%
Keith Berry 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes José Medina a 67% favorite over Keith Berry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1529), separated by just 7 points.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Keith Berry enters on a 2-fight win streak.

José Medina finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Keith Berry 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.