Combat Edge Intelligence

José Medina vs Lee Murray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lee Murray

Lee Murray

“Lightning”

8-2-1MiddleweightCR

1529Average

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record8-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74″ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phuket Fight ClubTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

José MedinaNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Lee MurrayNow 1529
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.16
Sig. strikes / min
0
37%
Strike accuracy
0%
5.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
31.43
47%
Strike defense
33%
0.40
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
28%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
17.14

Trajectory

José MedinaLee Murray
15501600200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (18%)
Submission
4 (50%)
1 (9%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

José Medina63%
Lee Murray 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes José Medina a 63% favorite over Lee Murray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1529), separated by just 7 points.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Lee Murray enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

José Medina finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Lee Murray 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.