José Medina vs Maiquel Falcao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record39-21-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74″ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight202 lbs
Phuket Fight Club· 1574 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRasthai Temple
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
José MedinaMaiquel Falcao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
José Medina56%
Maiquel Falcao 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes José Medina a 56% favorite over Maiquel Falcao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1537), separated by just 0 points.
José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Maiquel Falcao enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
José Medina finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Maiquel Falcao 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.