Combat Edge Intelligence

José Medina vs Steven Hill

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steven Hill

Steven Hill

“The Hillbilly Hammer”

7-4-0MiddleweightCWFC

1540Average

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74″Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phuket Fight ClubTeamNovo BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

José MedinaNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Steven HillNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.16
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0.40
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
28%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

José MedinaSteven Hill
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (18%)
Submission
3 (43%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting José Medina and Steven Hill within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1540), separated by just 4 points.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Steven Hill enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

José Medina finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Steven Hill 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.