Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Alday vs Kevin Natividad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jose Alday
mx

Jose Alday

“El Pochito”

13-7-1BantamweightFAC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-1Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
38,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose AldayNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Kevin NatividadNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
44%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.29
59%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
3.66
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
57%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jose AldayKevin Natividad
1600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
4 (31%)
Submission
1 (11%)
6 (46%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Natividad52%
Jose Alday 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Natividad a 52% favorite over Jose Alday in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Jose Alday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Natividad enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jose Alday finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Natividad 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.