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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Alday vs Roman Paulus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jose Alday
mx

Jose Alday

“El Pochito”

13-7-1BantamweightFAC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-1Record11-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
38,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1623 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose AldayNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Roman PaulusNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
57%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jose AldayRoman Paulus
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (27%)
6 (46%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Paulus63%
Jose Alday 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Paulus a 63% favorite over Jose Alday in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1587), separated by just 1 points.

Jose Alday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jose Alday finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Roman Paulus 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.