Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Delgado vs Julio Arce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record22-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
73"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight147 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose DelgadoNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
Julio ArceNow 1714
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
53%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
53%
Strike defense
68%
1.37
Takedown avg.
0.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
29%
63%
Takedown defense
96%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Jose DelgadoJulio Arce
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
4 (33%)
Submission
5 (23%)
2 (17%)
Decision
10 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Delgado60%
Julio Arce 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Delgado a 60% favorite over Julio Arce in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julio Arce's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1714), separated by just 1 points.

Jose Delgado enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jose Delgado finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Julio Arce 55%.

Jose Delgado carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.