Jose Henrique Souza vs Meng Ding
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record35-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
Meng Ding is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jose Henrique Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1674
If they lose-22→ 1626
If they win+11→ 1683
If they lose-13→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jose Henrique SouzaMeng Ding
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Meng Ding55%
Jose Henrique Souza 45%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Meng Ding a 55% favorite over Jose Henrique Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Meng Ding holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1648, a 24-point edge.
Jose Henrique Souza enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Meng Ding enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jose Henrique Souza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Meng Ding 86%.
Jose Henrique Souza carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.