Jose Souza vs Meng Ding
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record35-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
Meng Ding is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jose Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1650
If they lose-14→ 1618
If they win+11→ 1684
If they lose-13→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jose SouzaMeng Ding
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Meng Ding67%
Jose Souza 33%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Meng Ding a 67% favorite over Jose Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Meng Ding holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1632, a 41-point edge.
Jose Souza enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Meng Ding enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jose Souza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Meng Ding 86%.
Jose Souza carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.