Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Henrique Souza vs Meng Ding

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Meng Ding
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Meng Ding

“Ruthless Assassin”

35-10-0WelterweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record35-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Nova Uniao MPBJJTeamBlack Tiger Fight Club

What's at stake

Meng Ding is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jose Henrique Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jose Henrique SouzaNow 1648
If they win+27→ 1675
If they lose-21→ 1627
Meng DingNow 1688
If they win+11→ 1699
If they lose-13→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
44%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
39%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jose Henrique SouzaMeng Ding
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
28 (80%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (6%)
3 (33%)
Decision
5 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jose Henrique Souza and Meng Ding within a point of even.

Meng Ding holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1648, a 40-point edge.

Jose Henrique Souza enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Meng Ding enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jose Henrique Souza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Meng Ding 86%.

Jose Henrique Souza carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.