Jose Souza vs Neiman Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
79"Reach73.5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova Uniao MPBJJTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jose SouzaNeiman Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Souza71%
Neiman Gracie 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Souza a 71% favorite over Neiman Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1652), separated by just 2 points.
Jose Souza enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jose Souza finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Neiman Gracie 77%.
Jose Souza carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.