Jose Souza vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
79"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jose SouzaOban Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oban Elliott56%
Jose Souza 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 56% favorite over Jose Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.
Jose Souza enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jose Souza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Jose Souza carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.