Jose Henrique Souza vs Renzo Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record14-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'10"
79"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jose Henrique SouzaRenzo Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Henrique Souza70%
Renzo Gracie 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Henrique Souza a 70% favorite over Renzo Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renzo Gracie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.
Jose Henrique Souza enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jose Henrique Souza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Renzo Gracie 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.