Jose Maria vs Josua Hernández
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
41-10-0Record2-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
TBDReach65"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamInvictus No Love Team
What's at stake
Josua Hernández is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Jose Maria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1488
If they lose-23→ 1440
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jose MariaJosua Hernández
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josua Hernández70%
Jose Maria 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Josua Hernández a 70% favorite over Jose Maria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Josua Hernández holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1463, a 15-point edge.
Jose Maria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jose Maria finishes 82% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.