Jose Maria vs Moises Aular
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
41-10-0Record1-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'2"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1487
If they lose-24→ 1439
If they win+24→ 1493
If they lose-24→ 1445
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jose MariaMoises Aular
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Maria57%
Moises Aular 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Maria a 57% favorite over Moises Aular in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Moises Aular's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1463 vs 1469), separated by just 6 points.
Jose Maria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Moises Aular enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jose Maria finishes 82% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.