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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Maria vs Zelim Umarov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jose Maria
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Jose Maria

“No Chance”

41-10-0BantamweightTMB

1463Average

Tale of the tape

41-10-0Record3-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose MariaNow 1463
If they win+24→ 1487
If they lose-24→ 1439
Zelim UmarovNow 1467
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
52%
Strike defense
Not available
2.32
Takedown avg.
Not available
27%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
2.32
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jose MariaZelim Umarov
145015002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
15 (38%)
Submission
2 (67%)
7 (18%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Zelim Umarov60%
Jose Maria 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Zelim Umarov a 60% favorite over Jose Maria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1463 vs 1467), separated by just 4 points.

Jose Maria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jose Maria finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Zelim Umarov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.