Jose Mendez vs Kegan Gennrich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'2"
-Reach75"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
Kegan Gennrich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jose Mendez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1632
If they lose-14→ 1600
If they win+14→ 1661
If they lose-18→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1478 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jose MendezKegan Gennrich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kegan Gennrich70%
Jose Mendez 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Kegan Gennrich a 70% favorite over Jose Mendez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Kegan Gennrich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1614, a 33-point edge.
Kegan Gennrich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jose Mendez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kegan Gennrich 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.