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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Mendez vs Kegan Gennrich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'2"
-Reach75"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Spokane Valley BJJTeamFox Valley Grappling Club

What's at stake

Kegan Gennrich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jose Mendez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jose MendezNow 1613
If they win+18→ 1631
If they lose-14→ 1599
Kegan GennrichNow 1648
If they win+14→ 1662
If they lose-18→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1476 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Jose MendezKegan Gennrich
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
7 (78%)
Submission
5 (42%)
1 (11%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Kegan Gennrich63%
Jose Mendez 37%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Kegan Gennrich a 63% favorite over Jose Mendez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Kegan Gennrich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1613, a 35-point edge.

Kegan Gennrich enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jose Mendez finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kegan Gennrich 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.