Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Ochoa vs Lone’er Kavanagh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jose Ochoa
pe

Jose Ochoa

“Kalzifer”

9-2-0FlyweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

Lone’er Kavanagh is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jose Ochoa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jose OchoaNow 1662
If they win+17→ 1679
If they lose-15→ 1647
Lone’er KavanaghNow 1689
If they win+15→ 1704
If they lose-17→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
38%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.49
61%
Strike defense
57%
0.43
Takedown avg.
1.12
50%
Takedown accuracy
45%
59%
Takedown defense
94%
1.28
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Jose OchoaLone’er Kavanagh
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (11%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (11%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jose Ochoa and Lone’er Kavanagh within a point of even.

Lone’er Kavanagh holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1689 to 1662, a 27-point edge.

Jose Ochoa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.