Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Ochoa vs Lone’er Kavanagh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jose Ochoa
pe

Jose Ochoa

“Kalzifer”

9-2-0FlyweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose OchoaNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Lone’er KavanaghNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
47%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
59%
Strike defense
54%
0.30
Takedown avg.
1.12
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
66%
Takedown defense
83%
0.90
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Jose OchoaLone’er Kavanagh
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (11%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (11%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jose Ochoa and Lone’er Kavanagh within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1671), separated by just 9 points.

Jose Ochoa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.