Jose Ochoa vs Lone’er Kavanagh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jose OchoaLone’er Kavanagh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Ochoa51%
Lone’er Kavanagh 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Ochoa a 51% favorite over Lone’er Kavanagh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.
Jose Ochoa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jose Ochoa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.