Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Ochoa vs Rogério Bontorin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jose Ochoa
pe

Jose Ochoa

“Kalzifer”

9-2-0FlyweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamGile Ribeiro Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose OchoaNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Rogério BontorinNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
38%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
61%
Strike defense
50%
0.43
Takedown avg.
2.90
50%
Takedown accuracy
60%
59%
Takedown defense
52%
1.28
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Jose OchoaRogério Bontorin
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
1 (11%)
Submission
11 (65%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Ochoa66%
Rogério Bontorin 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Ochoa a 66% favorite over Rogério Bontorin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

Jose Ochoa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Rogério Bontorin 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.