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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Ochoa vs Umalat Israpilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jose Ochoa
pe

Jose Ochoa

“Kalzifer”

9-2-0FlyweightUFC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record19-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose OchoaNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Umalat IsrapilovNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
0.30
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
66%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.90
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jose OchoaUmalat Israpilov
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
1 (11%)
Submission
4 (21%)
1 (11%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Umalat Israpilov60%
Jose Ochoa 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Umalat Israpilov a 60% favorite over Jose Ochoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1675), separated by just 1 points.

Jose Ochoa enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Umalat Israpilov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jose Ochoa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Umalat Israpilov 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.