Jose Alberto Quiñonez vs Louis Smolka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
La MalillaTeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
Louis Smolka is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jose Alberto Quiñonez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1570
If they lose-12→ 1538
If they win+9→ 1639
If they lose-15→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jose Alberto QuiñonezLouis Smolka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Louis Smolka70%
Jose Alberto Quiñonez 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Louis Smolka a 70% favorite over Jose Alberto Quiñonez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Louis Smolka holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1550, a 80-point edge.
Louis Smolka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jose Alberto Quiñonez finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Louis Smolka 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.