Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Alberto Quiñonez vs Sean O'Malley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record20-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69"Reach72″
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
La MalillaTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Sean O'Malley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jose Alberto Quiñonez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jose Alberto QuiñonezNow 1550
If they win+26→ 1576
If they lose-6→ 1544
Sean O'MalleyNow 1815
If they win+6→ 1821
If they lose-26→ 1789

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
6.05
45%
Strike accuracy
61%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
64%
Strike defense
60%
2.70
Takedown avg.
0.24
47%
Takedown accuracy
43%
43%
Takedown defense
61%
0.63
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Jose Alberto QuiñonezSean O'Malley
1600170018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
13 (65%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (5%)
7 (58%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean O'Malley92%
Jose Alberto Quiñonez 8%Elo baseline: 82%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Malley a 92% favorite over Jose Alberto Quiñonez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).

Sean O'Malley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1815 to 1550, a 265-point edge.

Sean O'Malley enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jose Alberto Quiñonez finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Malley 70%.

Sean O'Malley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.