Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Santibanez vs Tracy Reeder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReach73.5"
154 lbsWeight160 lbs
Silverback Fight ClubTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose SantibanezNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Tracy ReederNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1479 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jose SantibanezTracy Reeder
150015501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
2 (20%)
Submission
5 (42%)
5 (50%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Tracy Reeder66%
Jose Santibanez 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tracy Reeder a 66% favorite over Jose Santibanez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jose Santibanez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

Jose Santibanez finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Reeder 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.