Josef Štummer vs Łukasz Charzewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-Reach69"
148 lbsWeight146 lbs
MMA LiberecTeamBonzai MMA· 1586 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Łukasz Charzewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Josef Štummer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1630
If they lose-14→ 1598
If they win+14→ 1674
If they lose-18→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josef ŠtummerŁukasz Charzewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Łukasz Charzewski65%
Josef Štummer 35%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Charzewski a 65% favorite over Josef Štummer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Łukasz Charzewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1612, a 48-point edge.
Josef Štummer enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Josef Štummer finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Charzewski 27%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.