Josef Štummer vs Niklas Backstrom
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LiberecTeamAllstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josef ŠtummerNiklas Backstrom
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niklas Backstrom56%
Josef Štummer 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Backstrom a 56% favorite over Josef Štummer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josef Štummer's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.
Josef Štummer enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Niklas Backstrom enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josef Štummer finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Backstrom 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.