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Combat Edge Intelligence

Josef Štummer vs Tyler Toner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tyler Toner
us

Tyler Toner

“Thunder”

15-7-0FeatherweightRFA

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LiberecTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josef ŠtummerNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Tyler TonerNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.06
Not available
Strike accuracy
46%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Josef ŠtummerTyler Toner
1550160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
2 (25%)
Submission
3 (20%)
5 (63%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyler Toner57%
Josef Štummer 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyler Toner a 57% favorite over Josef Štummer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josef Štummer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.

Josef Štummer enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Josef Štummer finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Toner 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.