Josef Štummer vs Łukasz Charzewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
148 lbsWeight146 lbs
MMA LiberecTeamBonzai MMA· 1577 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Łukasz Charzewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Josef Štummer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1616
If they lose-18→ 1568
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-20→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1485 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josef ŠtummerŁukasz Charzewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Łukasz Charzewski69%
Josef Štummer 31%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Charzewski a 69% favorite over Josef Štummer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Łukasz Charzewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1586, a 89-point edge.
Josef Štummer enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Łukasz Charzewski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Josef Štummer finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Charzewski 27%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.