Josefine Knutsson vs Julia Polastri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record14-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
60"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamCWB Fighter
What's at stake
Julia Polastri is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Josefine Knutsson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1598
If they lose-19→ 1550
If they win+12→ 1660
If they lose-20→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josefine KnutssonJulia Polastri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julia Polastri63%
Josefine Knutsson 37%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Julia Polastri a 63% favorite over Josefine Knutsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Julia Polastri holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1569, a 79-point edge.
Josefine Knutsson finishes 13% of wins inside the distance, Julia Polastri 57%.
Julia Polastri carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.