AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Josefine Knutsson vs Julia Polastri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record15-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
60"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamCWB Fighter

What's at stake

Julia Polastri is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Josefine Knutsson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josefine KnutssonNow 1570
If they win+31→ 1601
If they lose-17→ 1553
Julia PolastriNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-20→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.87
Sig. strikes / min
6.22
52%
Strike accuracy
57%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
57%
Strike defense
59%
2
Takedown avg.
0.62
73%
Takedown accuracy
60%
57%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Josefine KnutssonJulia Polastri
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (20%)
7 (88%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Julia Polastri72%
Josefine Knutsson 28%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Julia Polastri a 72% favorite over Josefine Knutsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Julia Polastri holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1570, a 97-point edge.

Josefine Knutsson finishes 13% of wins inside the distance, Julia Polastri 60%.

Julia Polastri carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.