Joseph Benavidez vs Joshua Van
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record17-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
TBDReach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeam4oz. Fight Club
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joseph Benavidez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1796
If they lose-11→ 1772
If they win+15→ 1815
If they lose-17→ 1783
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph BenavidezJoshua Van
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van73%
Joseph Benavidez 27%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 73% favorite over Joseph Benavidez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1783, a 17-point edge.
Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Joseph Benavidez finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.