Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Benavidez vs Tatsuro Taira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-8-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamThe Blackbelt Japan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph BenavidezNow 1783
If they win+12→ 1795
If they lose-12→ 1771
Tatsuro TairaNow 1790
If they win+16→ 1806
If they lose-16→ 1774

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
35%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
61%
Strike defense
47%
1.41
Takedown avg.
3.12
31%
Takedown accuracy
47%
62%
Takedown defense
45%
0.59
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Joseph BenavidezTatsuro Taira
17501800185020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
9 (32%)
Submission
8 (44%)
11 (39%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Tatsuro Taira73%
Joseph Benavidez 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuro Taira a 73% favorite over Joseph Benavidez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1783 vs 1790), separated by just 7 points.

Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joseph Benavidez finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.

Joseph Benavidez and Tatsuro Taira share 1 common opponent: Alex Perez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2018
Alex Perez
WinKO/TKO · 2024