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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Benavidez vs Zach Makovsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

28-8-0Record21-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
TBDReach64,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Joseph Benavidez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Zach Makovsky carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joseph BenavidezNow 1783
If they win+6→ 1789
If they lose-18→ 1765
Zach MakovskyNow 1588
If they win+18→ 1606
If they lose-6→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
35%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.24
61%
Strike defense
62%
1.41
Takedown avg.
3.71
31%
Takedown accuracy
31%
62%
Takedown defense
57%
0.59
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Joseph BenavidezZach Makovsky
16001700180020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
9 (32%)
Submission
7 (33%)
11 (39%)
Decision
13 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Benavidez82%
Zach Makovsky 18%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Benavidez a 82% favorite over Zach Makovsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Joseph Benavidez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1783 to 1588, a 195-point edge.

Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joseph Benavidez finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Zach Makovsky 38%.

Joseph Benavidez and Zach Makovsky share 1 common opponent: Dustin Ortiz.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDEC · 2019
Dustin Ortiz
LossDEC · 2016