Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Donkor vs Leonardo Mafra Texeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
-Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Box Club GifhornTeamKings MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph DonkorNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Leonardo Mafra TexeiraNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.38
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.12
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Joseph DonkorLeonardo Mafra Texeira
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
3 (50%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (17%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Donkor63%
Leonardo Mafra Texeira 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Donkor a 63% favorite over Leonardo Mafra Texeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1570), separated by just 1 points.

Leonardo Mafra Texeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joseph Donkor finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Mafra Texeira 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.