Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Donkor vs Mark Holst

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Holst
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Mark Holst

“Boots”

12-6-0WelterweightOttawa Academy of Martial Arts

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
-Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
Box Club GifhornTeamOAMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph DonkorNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Mark HolstNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
19%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.67
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.28

Trajectory

Joseph DonkorMark Holst
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
3 (50%)
Submission
7 (58%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Donkor60%
Mark Holst 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Donkor a 60% favorite over Mark Holst in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1567), separated by just 4 points.

Joseph Donkor finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mark Holst 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.