Joseph Holmes vs Jun Yong Park
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record19-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
80"Reach73"
189 lbsWeight185 lbs
WAR Training CenterTeamWorld Top Team
What's at stake
Jun Yong Park is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Joseph Holmes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1634
If they lose-11→ 1602
If they win+8→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph HolmesJun Yong Park
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jun Yong Park62%
Joseph Holmes 38%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Jun Yong Park a 62% favorite over Joseph Holmes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Jun Yong Park holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1613, a 112-point edge.
Joseph Holmes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joseph Holmes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jun Yong Park 58%.
Joseph Holmes carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.