Joseph Holmes vs Trent Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record10-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'9"
80"Reach72"
189 lbsWeight184 lbs
WAR Training CenterTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph HolmesTrent Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trent Miller73%
Joseph Holmes 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trent Miller a 73% favorite over Joseph Holmes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.
Joseph Holmes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Trent Miller enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joseph Holmes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Trent Miller 90%.
Joseph Holmes carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.