Joseph Holmes vs Zayne Havener
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record5-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80"Reach-
189 lbsWeight185 lbs
WAR Training CenterTeamNice Guy Submission Fighting
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph HolmesZayne Havener
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zayne Havener66%
Joseph Holmes 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zayne Havener a 66% favorite over Joseph Holmes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joseph Holmes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1611), separated by just 2 points.
Joseph Holmes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Zayne Havener enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joseph Holmes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zayne Havener 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.