Joseph Larcinese vs Ricardo Lemos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record5-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joseph LarcineseRicardo Lemos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Larcinese54%
Ricardo Lemos 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Larcinese a 54% favorite over Ricardo Lemos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.
Ricardo Lemos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Joseph Larcinese finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lemos 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.