Joseph Larcinese vs Takaya Suzuki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record9-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Igor MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Takaya Suzuki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Joseph Larcinese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1638
If they lose-19→ 1590
If they win+13→ 1691
If they lose-19→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joseph LarcineseTakaya Suzuki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Takaya Suzuki61%
Joseph Larcinese 39%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Takaya Suzuki a 61% favorite over Joseph Larcinese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Takaya Suzuki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1609, a 69-point edge.
Takaya Suzuki enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Joseph Larcinese finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Takaya Suzuki 78%.
Takaya Suzuki carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.