Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Larcinese vs Takeru Uchida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
64"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph LarcineseNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Takeru UchidaNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.63
TBD
Strike defense
25%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.17
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
6.34

Trajectory

Joseph LarcineseTakeru Uchida
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (67%)
Submission
9 (100%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joseph Larcinese and Takeru Uchida within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Joseph Larcinese enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Takeru Uchida enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Joseph Larcinese finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Takeru Uchida 100%.

Takeru Uchida carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.