Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Larcinese vs Victor Altamirano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record12-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
64"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph LarcineseNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Victor AltamiranoNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.58
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.88
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joseph LarcineseVictor Altamirano
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
4 (67%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (17%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Larcinese64%
Victor Altamirano 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Larcinese a 64% favorite over Victor Altamirano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Joseph Larcinese enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joseph Larcinese finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Victor Altamirano 50%.

Victor Altamirano carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.