Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Luciano vs Leon Aliu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record11-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Absolute MMATeamIron Team Reggio Emilia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph LucianoNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Leon AliuNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.11
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joseph LucianoLeon Aliu
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
6 (60%)
Submission
4 (36%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Luciano63%
Leon Aliu 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Luciano a 63% favorite over Leon Aliu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Joseph Luciano finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Leon Aliu 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.