Joseph Luciano vs Teddy Ash
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight183 lbs
Absolute MMATeamShaved Bears MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph LucianoTeddy Ash
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Luciano62%
Teddy Ash 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Luciano a 62% favorite over Teddy Ash in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.
Teddy Ash enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joseph Luciano finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Teddy Ash 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.