Joseph Luciano vs Tor Troeng
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record16-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Absolute MMATeamRenyi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph LucianoTor Troeng
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Luciano66%
Tor Troeng 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Luciano a 66% favorite over Tor Troeng in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tor Troeng's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.
Tor Troeng enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joseph Luciano finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tor Troeng 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.