Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Luciano vs Zayne Havener

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Absolute MMATeamNice Guy Submission Fighting

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph LucianoNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Zayne HavenerNow 1611
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joseph LucianoZayne Havener
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
6 (60%)
Submission
3 (50%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Zayne Havener60%
Joseph Luciano 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zayne Havener a 60% favorite over Joseph Luciano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joseph Luciano's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.

Zayne Havener enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Joseph Luciano finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Zayne Havener 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.