Joseph Morales vs Muhidin Abubakar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record13-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamESKF Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joseph MoralesMuhidin Abubakar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Morales61%
Muhidin Abubakar 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Morales a 61% favorite over Muhidin Abubakar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1701), separated by just 1 points.
Muhidin Abubakar enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Joseph Morales finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Muhidin Abubakar 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.