Joseph Morales vs Roberto Sanchez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"Reach37.00
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamGracie Barra Texas
What's at stake
Joseph Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Roberto Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1723
If they lose-23→ 1691
If they win+34→ 1594
If they lose-14→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joseph MoralesRoberto Sanchez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Morales84%
Roberto Sanchez 16%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Morales a 84% favorite over Roberto Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Joseph Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1560, a 154-point edge.
Joseph Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joseph Morales finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Roberto Sanchez 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.