Joseph Morales vs Roberto Sanchez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"Reach37.00
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamGracie Barra Texas
What's at stake
Joseph Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Roberto Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1712
If they lose-22→ 1680
If they win+33→ 1593
If they lose-15→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joseph MoralesRoberto Sanchez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Morales83%
Roberto Sanchez 17%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Morales a 83% favorite over Roberto Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Joseph Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1560, a 142-point edge.
Joseph Morales finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Roberto Sanchez 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.