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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Nabong vs Vadim Ogar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record10-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8''Height5'9"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight157 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph NabongNow 1527
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503
Vadim OgarNow 1522
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Joseph NabongVadim Ogar
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Nabong69%
Vadim Ogar 31%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Nabong a 69% favorite over Vadim Ogar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1522), separated by just 5 points.

Vadim Ogar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Vadim Ogar 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.