Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Sandoval vs Nick Denis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Denis
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Nick Denis

“The Ninja of Love”

11-3-0BantamweightUFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bighead MMATeamRonin MMA

What's at stake

Nick Denis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joseph Sandoval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joseph SandovalNow 1465
If they win+22→ 1487
If they lose-10→ 1455
Nick DenisNow 1608
If they win+10→ 1618
If they lose-22→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.82
Sig. strikes / min
6.54
43%
Strike accuracy
53%
12.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.42
61%
Strike defense
37%
0
Takedown avg.
2.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joseph SandovalNick Denis
145015001550160016502010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
10 (91%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (43%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Denis74%
Joseph Sandoval 26%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Denis a 74% favorite over Joseph Sandoval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Nick Denis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1465, a 143-point edge.

Joseph Sandoval enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joseph Sandoval finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Nick Denis 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.