Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Sandoval vs Walel Watson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Walel Watson
us

Walel Watson

“The Gazelle”

15-15-0BantamweightDFS

1472Average

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record15-15-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Bighead MMATeamTeam Bodyshop

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph SandovalNow 1465
If they win+16→ 1481
If they lose-16→ 1449
Walel WatsonNow 1472
If they win+12→ 1484
If they lose-12→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.82
Sig. strikes / min
2.10
43%
Strike accuracy
29%
12.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
61%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
1.39

Trajectory

Joseph SandovalWalel Watson
1450150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
1 (14%)
Submission
12 (80%)
3 (43%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joseph Sandoval and Walel Watson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1465 vs 1472), separated by just 7 points.

Joseph Sandoval enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Walel Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joseph Sandoval finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Walel Watson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.